Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 5.725475 6.526028 7.408245 8.454233 9.662706 11.017567 12.655183
2025-06-08 4.521070 5.529618 6.728847 8.265873 10.192073 12.537193 15.625487
2025-06-15 4.010299 5.168540 6.626210 8.607697 11.249958 14.678346 19.506417
2025-06-22 3.558227 4.782512 6.395369 8.695178 11.921996 16.335173 22.908303
2025-06-29 3.164815 4.407467 6.109284 8.637209 12.342987 17.648100 25.947010
2025-07-06 2.835909 4.074291 5.829134 8.531905 12.651737 18.796207 28.843897
2025-07-13 2.667873 3.947018 5.819062 8.803325 13.525327 20.851077 33.356579
2025-07-20 2.504755 3.806115 5.767653 8.995063 14.281042 22.787687 37.904897
2025-07-27 2.395109 3.733039 5.807068 9.324376 15.279405 25.208091 43.556445
2025-08-03 2.185544 3.481365 5.539151 9.121308 15.363218 26.096572 46.624825
2025-08-10 2.018045 3.281663 5.334885 8.999456 15.563762 27.192491 50.185829
2025-08-17 1.873089 3.105998 5.153322 8.895146 15.776877 28.320840 53.932523
2025-08-24 1.730506 2.924565 4.949794 8.738191 15.888293 29.293439 57.548008
2025-08-31 1.596682 2.747223 4.738130 8.545376 15.910627 30.096272 60.925361
2025-09-07 1.559612 2.736841 4.819359 8.900076 17.013575 33.116722 69.334108
2025-09-14 1.487063 2.656075 4.765475 8.990823 17.602975 35.169305 75.936851
2025-09-21 1.400514 2.542446 4.640932 8.930713 17.877633 36.596758 81.333387
2025-09-28 1.315336 2.424717 4.498885 8.821516 18.036589 37.791038 86.351277
2025-10-05 1.284096 2.407237 4.547297 9.102979 19.052794 40.965135 96.548756
2025-10-12 1.245013 2.371288 4.556126 9.301827 19.908356 43.876924 106.539911
2025-10-19 1.223398 2.368009 4.629324 9.643384 21.117801 47.745097 119.568266
2025-10-26 1.146628 2.248061 4.455942 9.432761 21.039825 48.556156 124.674924
2025-11-02 1.083890 2.152453 4.325822 9.306383 21.145671 49.823678 131.211356